Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.