Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.