

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for an Annan Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 61.95% | 21.58% ( | 16.48% |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% | 47.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% | 69.33% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% ( | 14.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.2% | 42.8% ( |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.25% ( | 41.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.78% | 78.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% 2-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 6.31% 4-0 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.46% Total : 61.94% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.57% | 0-1 @ 5.34% 1-2 @ 4.48% 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 29 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 14 |
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 6 |
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