Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for an Annan Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.