Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.