Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.