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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 23 | 45 |
2 | CF Montreal | 24 | 3 | 40 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 24 | 6 | 37 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | New England Revolution | 23 | 1 | 30 |
6 | Chicago Fire | 24 | -3 | 30 |
7 | Toronto | 24 | -8 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
58.19% (![]() | 22.25% (![]() | 19.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.88% (![]() | 45.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.53% (![]() | 67.46% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.79% (![]() | 15.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.15% (![]() | 43.84% (![]() |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.99% (![]() | 37.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.2% (![]() | 73.8% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 10.59% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.98% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.53% Total : 58.18% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.24% | 0-1 @ 5.59% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 17 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 14 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Orlando City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Toronto | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
12 | DC United | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 3 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 17 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
4 | Dallas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 6 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 3 |