Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
