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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
31.6% | 24.91% | 43.49% |
Both teams to score 56.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.62% | 46.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.34% | 68.66% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% | 27.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% | 63.39% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.64% | 21.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.67% | 54.33% |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 7.6% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.6% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 4.66% 0-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.49% |