The new MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Inter Miami |
45.96% | 24.5% | 29.53% |
Both teams to score 57.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.48% | 45.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.15% | 67.85% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.09% | 19.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.96% | 52.04% |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.24% | 28.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.41% | 64.59% |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-1 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
4 | Orlando City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
8 | Toronto | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
13 | DC United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
5 | Dallas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
10 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |