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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Orlando City | 23 | -6 | 30 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 23 | 0 | 29 |
| 8 | New England Revolution | 22 | -2 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 23 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 23 | 3 | 39 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 23 | 6 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 36.03% ( | 25.46% ( | 38.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.2% ( | 47.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.01% ( | 69.99% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( | 25.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.25% ( | 60.75% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( | 24.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.14% ( | 58.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 36.03% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Nashville SCNashville | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | New York City FCNY City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Toronto | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Orlando City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | DC United | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | St Louis City | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | Dallas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
