Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
