MX23RW : Tuesday, October 17 16:10:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown
0 - 1
Cardiff MU

Sears (43'), Mills-Evans (90+5'), Rushton (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rees (42')
Baker (74'), Price (90+6')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 1-4 Newtown
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff MU in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
30.47% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 26.34% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 43.18% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 51.61% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15% (-0.17 -0.17)52.85% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (-0.144 -0.14)74.47% (0.14500000000001 0.15)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)31.82% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)68.26% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)24.29% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (-0.167 -0.17)58.66% (0.168 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 30.47%
    Cardiff MU 43.17%
    Draw 26.33%
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.47%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.73% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 43.17%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Cardiff MU

Taylor (71'), Hughes (82')

Baker (66'), Craven (69'), Chubb (87'), Lewis (90')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Newtown
Jones (17')
Chubb (63'), Craven (71'), Baker (78')
Hearsey (90+4')
Mwandwe (29'), Williams (45+1'), Jones (56')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
2-3
Cardiff MU
Ofori (1'), Rushton (66' pen.)
Fletcher (32'), Roberts (44'), Mills-Evans (53'), Ofori (57')
Rees (5'), Hulbert (54'), Evans (77' pen.)
Baker (42'), Lewis (60'), Woolridge (86')
Lewis (66')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
2-2
Newtown
Baker (22'), Warman (57')
Warman (64'), Woolridge (80')
Mills-Evans (14'), Mwandwe (42')
Ofori (53'), Evans (84'), Davies (90+1')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Newtown
4-1
Cardiff MU
Ofori (5', 28'), Evans (57', 69')
Mwandwe (36'), Hughes (63'), O'Neill (79')
Woolridge (21')
Rees (41'), Lewis (52'), Evans (56'), Price (63')
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-17
Chargers
Result
De Minaur
Draper
4 77 77
6 64 61
Result
Shimabukuro
Garin
4 6 3
6 3 6
Result
Fritz
Norrie
6 6
4 3
Result
Popyrin
Khachanov
6 6
4 2
Result
Shelton
Daniel
3 6 77
6 4 62
Result
Cerundolo
Schwartzman
4 1
6 6
7.30am
Mochizuki
Martin Etcheverry
10am
Watanuki
Ruud
11.30am
Karatsev
Tiafoe
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints119203782929
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1181231141725
3Newtown AFCNewtown1171321111022
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon115241919017
5Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont115241515017
6Bala TownBala Town1144388016
7Cardiff MUCardiff MU114431115-416
8Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd1133549-512
9Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest112451121-1010
10Colwyn Bay112271220-88
11Barry Town UnitedBarry111371020-106
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth11128625-195
> Welsh Premier League Full Table
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250
Media Mole RHS news promo
Freddie Flintoff 'agrees £9m compensation deal with BBC'
Freddie Flintoff 'agrees £9m compensation deal with BBC'
The Masked Singer films Christmas special?
The Masked Singer films Christmas special?
The X Factor winner Matt Terry opens up on "dark time" after show
The X Factor winner Matt Terry opens up on "dark time" after show
Coronation Street's Charlotte Jordan: 'Daisy heartbroken for Ryan over steroid use'
Coronation Street's Charlotte Jordan: 'Daisy heartbroken for Ryan over steroid use'
Picture Spoilers: Next week on Coronation Street (Oct 23-25)
Picture Spoilers: Next week on Coronation Street (Oct 23-25)

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!