Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
