Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
