Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Stevenage |
| 46.48% ( | 26.25% ( | 27.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.95% ( | 54.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.52% ( | 75.47% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( | 23.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.86% ( | 57.13% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% ( | 34.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.38% ( | 71.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 46.47% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.79% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 27.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 63 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 56 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Salford City | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 48 |
| 6 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 40 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 39 |
| 14 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 38 |
| 15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 33 |
| 17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 |
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 31 |
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 27 |
| 21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 25 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 24 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 20 |
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