Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leyton Orient in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Salford City |
| 38.04% ( | 26.88% ( | 35.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.05% ( | 53.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.6% ( | 75.4% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( | 27.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.95% ( | 63.05% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( | 29.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.72% ( | 65.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.04% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.05% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 1-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 39 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 80 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 70 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 69 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 39 | 19 | 12 | 8 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 69 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 67 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 65 |
| 7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 |
| 8 | Salford City | 40 | 18 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 63 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 58 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 57 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 51 |
| 13 | Walsall | 40 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 50 |
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 50 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 48 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 48 |
| 17 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 47 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 47 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 47 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 40 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 39 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 40 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 38 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 40 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 38 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 40 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 32 |
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