Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Famalicao |
34.92% (![]() | 27.08% (![]() | 37.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.57% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.23% (![]() | 54.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.92% (![]() | 76.08% (![]() |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.19% (![]() | 29.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.11% (![]() | 65.89% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.04% (![]() | 27.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.41% (![]() | 63.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.08% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.78% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.92% | 1-1 @ 12.85% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.33% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 10.62% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 33 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 79 | 20 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 31 | 38 | 71 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 53 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 43 |
9 | Casa Pia | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 41 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 32 |
16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
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