MX23RW : Tuesday, May 9 02:15:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Maritimo
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Arouca
1 - 1
Pacos de Ferreira
Mujica (55')
Antony (43'), Soro (74'), Esgaio (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gaitan (75')
de Brito Gonzaga (38'), Antunes (82'), Djalo (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-2 Pacos de Ferreira

Arouca have put together a solid run of results in recent weeks as they continue their hunt for a first appearance in Europe since the 2016-17 campaign. However, we predict that Pacos de Ferreira will build on their impressive display against Santa Clara and pick up a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawPacos de Ferreira
47.29% (0.203 0.2) 27.68% (0.274 0.27) 25.02% (-0.481 -0.48)
Both teams to score 44.3% (-1.103 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49% (-1.211 -1.21)60.51% (1.205 1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37% (-0.923 -0.92)80.62% (0.91800000000001 0.92)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (-0.45 -0.45)25.69% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (-0.613 -0.61)60.6% (0.608 0.61)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.62% (-1.118 -1.12)40.38% (1.112 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23% (-1.029 -1.03)77% (1.025 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 47.29%
    Pacos de Ferreira 25.02%
    Draw 27.67%
AroucaDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 14.09% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 9.58% (0.188 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 47.29%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.37% (0.458 0.46)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.141 0.14)
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 25.02%

How you voted: Arouca vs Pacos de Ferreira

Arouca
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Pacos de Ferreira
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Mar 12, 2022 6pm
Arouca
0-1
Pacos de Ferreira

Bukia (49'), Galovic (64'), Pite (80'), Quaresma (89')
Gaitan (33')
Carlos (16'), Ferreira (59'), Djalo (67'), Ferreira (78'), Butzke (80')
Oct 24, 2021 3.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
0-0
Arouca

Santos (13'), Denilson (53'), Ferreira (56'), Antunes (68'), Delgado (88'), Ibrahim (90+7')
Santos (55')

Nunes (32'), Basso (90+6')
Apr 8, 2017 4pm
Nov 27, 2016 4pm
Arouca
1-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Jorginho (6')
Jubal (65'), Bracali (94')

Da Silva (24'), Baixinho (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica31262372175580
2Porto31244364194576
3Braga31232666264071
4Sporting Lisbon31214665283767
5AroucaArouca3113993335-248
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31145123236-447
7ChavesChaves311110103235-343
8FamalicaoFamalicao31133153541-642
9Casa Pia31117132835-740
10BoavistaBoavista31117133749-1240
11Vizela31116143335-239
12Rio AveRio Ave31109123337-439
13PortimonensePortimonense31104172440-1634
14Gil Vicente3187162839-1131
15Estoril PraiaEstoril3184192646-2028
16Maritimo3165202958-2923
17Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira3155212356-3320
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara3147202250-2819

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!