Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
47.29% (![]() | 27.68% (![]() | 25.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.49% (![]() | 60.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.37% (![]() | 80.62% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% (![]() | 25.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% (![]() | 60.6% (![]() |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.62% (![]() | 40.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23% (![]() | 77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 14.09% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 47.29% | 1-1 @ 12.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.37% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.41% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 1.32% Total : 25.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 31 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 72 | 17 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 67 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 13 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 |
11 | Vizela | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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