Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Santa Clara |
34.97% (![]() | 28.17% (![]() | 36.86% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.1% (![]() | 58.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.61% (![]() | 79.39% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.15% (![]() | 31.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.71% (![]() | 68.28% (![]() |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% | 30.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% (![]() | 66.89% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 7.56% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.96% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.47% ( ![]() Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 11.54% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 26 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 67 | 14 | 53 | 71 |
2 | Porto | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 56 | 17 | 39 | 61 |
3 | Braga | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 59 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 53 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 41 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 41 |
7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
8 | Vizela | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 33 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 33 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 30 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 29 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 19 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 15 |
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