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Athletic Bilbao logo
Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 4, 2023 at 8.10pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Osauna logo
Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Osasuna
Williams (33')
Vesga (21'), Sancet (94')
FT
(aet)
Ibanez (116')
Torro (43'), Barja (75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Osasuna (Osasuna win 2-1 on aggregate)

Athletic's rich history in the Copa del Rey has to be taken into account here, but the Basque outfit could face frustration on Tuesday night. Osasuna can be a very tough nut to crack, and we are backing the visitors to secure a draw on the evening, which would send them into the final of the competition. Read more.
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.71%).

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
51.14% (-2.548 -2.55) 27.1% (1.52 1.52) 21.75% (1.028 1.03)
Both teams to score 42.62% (-2.656 -2.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.01% (-4.159 -4.16)60.99% (4.157 4.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.01% (-3.224 -3.22)80.99% (3.223 3.22)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (-2.866 -2.87)24.09% (2.864 2.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.62% (-4.257 -4.26)58.38% (4.256 4.26)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.15% (-1.33 -1.33)43.85% (1.328 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20% (-1.118 -1.12)80% (1.116 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 51.14%
    Osasuna 21.75%
    Draw 27.1%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 15.03% (1.05 1.05)
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.449 -0.45)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.524 -0.52)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.605 -0.61)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.364 -0.36)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.323 -0.32)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.367 -0.37)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 51.14%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.43 0.43)
0-0 @ 10.56% (1.536 1.54)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.328 -0.33)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.991 0.99)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.289 0.29)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.75%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
58.9%
Draw
28.9%
Osasuna
12.2%
90

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Head to Head
Mar 1, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Ezzalzouli (47')
Budimir (52'), Gomez (54'), Brasanac (90+1')

Berenguer (40'), Vesga (43'), Martinez (64')
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Jan 3, 2022 8pm
Osasuna
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Kike (10')
Angel (66'), Arrasate (67'), Torro (76'), Herrera (78'), Avila (90+2')
Avila (90+4')
Sancet (16', 25', 68')
Alvarez (66'), Martinez (90+4')
May 8, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Osasuna
Morcillo (1'), Sancet (62')
Vencedor (50'), Marcelino (71')
Brasanac (12'), Budimir (89')
Torro (26'), Brasanac (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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3Manchester UnitedMan Utd37226956421472
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371913567323570
5Liverpool37199971432866
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371881171512062
7Aston Villa37177134945458
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs37176146662457
9Brentford371414957461156
10Fulham37157155451352
11Crystal Palace371111153948-944
12Chelsea371110163746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37118183153-2241
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham37117194153-1240
15Bournemouth37116203770-3339
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest37910183767-3037
17Everton37712183357-2433
18Leicester CityLeicester3787224967-1831
19Leeds UnitedLeeds37710204774-2731
RSouthampton3766253269-3724

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