Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Sestao River had a probability of 10.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.46%) and 0-3 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Sestao River win it was 1-0 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
