Osasuna have not actually drawn a single home match in La Liga this season, winning six and losing five of their 11 games, but we have a feeling that the points could be shared here. The hosts will enter the match off the back of successive wins, but Celta were excellent against Real Valladolid, so a draw could be on the cards.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.04) 
-0.06) 
