Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Arouca |
51.67% (![]() | 25.35% (![]() | 22.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.18% (![]() | 53.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.71% (![]() | 75.29% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.15% (![]() | 20.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.47% (![]() | 53.52% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% (![]() | 38.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.72% (![]() | 75.27% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 12.59% 2-0 @ 9.87% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.42% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.48% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 12.01% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.49% ( ![]() Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.66% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 26 | 59 | 78 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 78 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 29 | 31 | 65 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 54 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 51 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 44 |
8 | Casa Pia | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 42 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 36 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nacional | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 32 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 29 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 24 |
17 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 53 | -31 | 24 |
18 | AVS | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 24 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |