Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
1 - 3
Marseille

Soumare (66')
Nego (48'), Pembele (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gouiri (56', 90+9'), Greenwood (85')
Balerdi (52'), Greenwood (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-2 Le Havre
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 14.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Le Havre win it was 2-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Marseille
14.75%	18.66%	66.59%

Both teams to score 55.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.69% (

-0)

37.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.48% (

-0)

59.52%

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.02% (

-0)

37.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.25%

74.75%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.61% (

-0)

10.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.09% (

-0)

33.91%

Score Analysis

Le Havre 14.75%

Marseille 66.59%

Draw 18.66%

Le Havre	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 4.19% 1-0 @ 3.82% 2-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.53% 3-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.75%	1-1 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.74% 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.66%	0-2 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-1 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 7.39% 0-4 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.03% 0-5 @ 1.96% 1-5 @ 1.9% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.83% Total : 66.59%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Marseille

Le Havre

13.7%

Draw

13.7%

Marseille

72.5%

Head to Head

Jan 5, 2025 7.45pm

Gameweek 16

Marseille

5-1

Le Havre

Rongier (25'), Nadir (39'), Maupay (43'), Wahi (66'), Garcia (75')
Nadir (45+5')

Ayew (85')

> Preview

May 19, 2024 8pm

Gameweek 34

Le Havre

1-2

Marseille

Bayo (90+7' pen.)
Sabbi (82')

Aubameyang (64'), Murillo (77')

> Preview

Oct 8, 2023 12pm

Gameweek 8

Marseille

3-0

Le Havre

Sangante (18' og.), Aubameyang (21'), Sarr (84')

N'Diaye (12'), Casimir (50')
N'Diaye (40')

> Preview

Form Guide

Montpellier 0-2 Le Havre

Le Havre 3-2 Nantes

Lille 1-1 Marseille

Marseille 4-1 Brest

Marseille 5-1 Montpellier

Monaco 3-0 Marseille

Marseille 3-2 Toulouse

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Paris Saint-Germain PSG	34	26	6	2	92	35	57	84
2	Marseille	34	20	5	9	74	47	27	65
3	Monaco Monaco	34	18	7	9	63	41	22	61
4	Nice	34	17	9	8	66	41	25	60
5	Lille	34	17	9	8	52	36	16	60
6	Lyon	34	17	6	11	65	46	19	57
7	Strasbourg Strasbourg	34	16	9	9	56	44	12	57
8	Lens	34	15	7	12	42	39	3	52
9	Brest	34	15	5	14	52	59	-7	50
10	Toulouse	34	11	9	14	44	43	1	42
11	Auxerre	34	11	9	14	48	51	-3	42
12	Rennes	34	13	2	19	51	50	1	41
13	Nantes Nantes	34	8	12	14	39	52	-13	36
14	Angers	34	10	6	18	32	53	-21	36
15	Le Havre Le Havre	34	10	4	20	40	71	-31	34
16	Reims	34	8	9	17	33	47	-14	33
R	Saint-Etienne St Etienne	34	8	6	20	39	77	-38	30
R	Montpellier HSC Montpellier	34	4	4	26	23	79	-56	16
					> Ligue 1 Full Table