Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Le Havre |
| 37.53% ( | 23.8% ( | 38.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.13% ( | 39.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.78% ( | 62.23% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( | 21.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.63% ( | 54.37% ( |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% ( | 20.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.5% ( | 53.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Le Havre |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 2-0 @ 5.3% ( 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 38.67% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
