MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:13:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Le Havre

Montpellier
0 - 2
Le Havre


Khazri (90+1')
Meite (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kechta (3'), Toure (33')
Gorgelin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-2 Nantes
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-3 Le Havre

Like Le Havre's recent matches, we think that Sunday's contest will produce goals to interest the neutral viewer, and after winning two of their previous three away games, we believe that the visitors will do enough to condemn Montpellier to a ninth consecutive defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLe Havre
37.53% (-0.357 -0.36) 23.8% (0.203 0.2) 38.67% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 62.25% (-0.788 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.13% (-1.018 -1.02)39.87% (1.022 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.78% (-1.063 -1.06)62.23% (1.068 1.07)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (-0.625 -0.63)21.38% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.63% (-0.975 -0.98)54.37% (0.979 0.98)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (-0.366 -0.37)20.83% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5% (-0.583 -0.58)53.5% (0.588 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 37.53%
    Le Havre 38.67%
    Draw 23.79%
Montpellier HSCDrawLe Havre
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.194 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.3% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 37.53%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.208 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.135 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 38.67%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Le Havre

Montpellier HSC
18.5%
Draw
18.5%
Le Havre
63.0%
27
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 10
Le Havre
1-0
Montpellier
Toure (73' pen.)
Lloris (31'), Salmier (46')

Ferri (35')
Mar 31, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 27
Le Havre
0-2
Montpellier

Nego (31'), Casimir (70')
Ferri (72'), Jullien (80')
Omeragic (70'), Sagnan (70')
Aug 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Montpellier
2-2
Le Havre
Adams (58', 60')
Jullien (48')
Lloris (5'), Grandsir (90')
Sangante (55'), Targhalline (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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