Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
Auxerre1 - 0Montpellier
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Auxerre
Friday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Friday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Auxerre 2-0 Montpellier HSC
Montpellier's campaign has had many lows, particularly in their games away from home, so it is difficult to see anything but a home victory in the match. Auxerre's home form is a major reason why they will almost certainly be playing in Ligue 1 next season, and we fully expect them to grab the three points this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Auxerre.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
51.78% ( -0.01) | 24.34% ( 0.46) | 23.87% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 52.7% ( -1.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
