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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
AJ Auxerre
Montpellier
1 - 2
Auxerre
Sakho (39')
Sakho (73')
Fayad (46'), Savanier (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
da Costa (70'), Autret (75' pen.)
da Costa (5'), Joly (43')
Niang (51'), da Costa (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:
Last Game: PSG 5-2 Montpellier
Saturday, August 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

Last Six:
Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Angers
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 3-1 Auxerre

 Both teams have showcased that they are not always the strongest at the back in terms of keeping clean sheets, and that should open this game up to feature plenty of goals. Montpellier HSC have been free-scoring in the first two fixtures, and that could play a part in them securing all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawAuxerre
41.66% (-0.734 -0.73) 24.69% (-0.093 -0.09) 33.65% (0.823 0.82)
Both teams to score 58.32% (0.602 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (0.667 0.67)44.69% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.642 0.64)67.05% (-0.645 -0.64)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)21.49% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)54.53% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.818 0.82)25.71% (-0.821 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (1.1 1.1)60.63% (-1.104 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 41.66%
    Auxerre 33.65%
    Draw 24.68%
Montpellier HSCDrawAuxerre
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.264 -0.26)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.088 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.127 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.102 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.074 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.65%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Auxerre

Montpellier HSC
73.5%
Draw
14.7%
Auxerre
11.8%
34
Head to Head
May 20, 2012 3pm
Auxerre
1-2
Montpellier
Aug 6, 2011 3pm
Montpellier
3-1
Auxerre
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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