MX23RW : Sunday, April 20 20:08:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
AJ Auxerre

Lille
4 - 1
Auxerre

Andre (1'), David (3', 39'), Zedadka (64')
Gomes (58'), Djalo (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Charbonnier (68')
Jeanvier (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Auxerre

Lille's reshuffled defence may take a bit of time to gel with one another, but they should not be troubled by Auxerre this weekend, as Furlan's side experience a baptism of fire on their return to the big time. The visitors may have got the better of Ligue 1 opposition in Saint-Etienne last season, but the Fonseca revolution ought to begin in winning fashion for Les Dogues here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawAuxerre
58.59% (0.227 0.23) 22.86% (0.276 0.28) 18.55% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 49.72% (-1.74 -1.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85% (-1.873 -1.87)49.15% (1.869 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78% (-1.716 -1.72)71.22% (1.712 1.71)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-0.577 -0.58)16.46% (0.573 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.84% (-1.046 -1.05)46.16% (1.043 1.04)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.52% (-1.663 -1.66)40.48% (1.659 1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.91% (-1.537 -1.54)77.09% (1.535 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Lille 58.59%
    Auxerre 18.55%
    Draw 22.86%
LilleDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 12.02% (0.68 0.68)
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 58.59%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.496 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.189 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.55%

How you voted: Lille vs Auxerre

Lille
80.3%
Draw
14.8%
Auxerre
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2013 7pm
Lille
0-1
Auxerre
Haller (113')
Prince Segbefia (41'), Ait-Ben-Idir (76'), Ngando (118')
Mar 3, 2012 6pm
Oct 15, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG29245082275577
2Marseille30174962422055
3MonacoMonaco30166857352254
4Lille30158747321553
5Lyon29156857391851
6Nice30149756381851
7StrasbourgStrasbourg30149748371151
8Lens30136113533245
9Brest30135124849-144
10Rennes30122164540538
11Auxerre30108124145-438
12Toulouse3097143839-134
13Reims3088143242-1032
14NantesNantes2979133449-1530
15Angers3086162948-1930
16Le HavreLe Havre3083193364-3127
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2966173167-3624
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3043232271-4915


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