| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
| 11 | Brest | 38 | -8 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Monaco |
| 39.59% | 27.51% | 32.91% |
| Both teams to score 48.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% | 56.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% | 77.65% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% | 27.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.4% | 63.6% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.89% | 32.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.42% | 68.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.79% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 |
| 2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
| 3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | Lyon | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Clermont | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 53 |
| 9 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 |
| 11 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 |
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 |
| 15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
| R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 |
| 19 | Troyes | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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