Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%).
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Monaco |
| 46.89% | 26.49% | 26.62% |
| Both teams to score 48.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.65% | 55.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.44% | 76.56% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% | 23.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.33% | 57.67% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.87% | 36.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.09% | 72.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.67% Total : 46.89% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.56% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.91% Total : 26.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 5 | 27 | 32 |
| 2 | Lens | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Lorient | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Rennes | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Lille | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Clermont | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Troyes | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Nice | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Reims | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 | Brest | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 9 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 8 |
| 20 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 8 |
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