| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Monaco |
| 41.5% ( | 25.45% ( | 33.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% ( | 48.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% ( | 70.42% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( | 23.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.04% ( | 56.96% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% ( | 27.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.6% ( | 63.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.5% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 75 |
| 2 | Marseille | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 64 |
| 3 | Lens | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 61 |
| 5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 56 |
| 6 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
| 8 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Nice | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
| 11 | Clermont | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 37 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 33 |
| 15 | NantesNantes | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 | Brest | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 29 |
| 18 | Troyes | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 31 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 21 |
| R | Angers | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 68 | -43 | 14 |
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