| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Lens |
| 35.71% ( | 27.98% ( | 36.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.82% ( | 58.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.17% ( | 78.83% ( |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( | 31.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.68% ( | 67.32% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( | 30.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.12% ( | 66.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 3-2 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.71% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 47 |
| 2 | Lens | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 45 |
| 3 | Marseille | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Rennes | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 37 |
| 6 | Lorient | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Lille | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
| 8 | Clermont | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 28 |
| 9 | Lyon | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Nice | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 23 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Troyes | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 19 |
| 15 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 17 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 15 |
| 17 | Brest | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 15 |
| 19 | Auxerre | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 41 | -25 | 13 |
| 20 | Angers | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 8 |
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