Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Groningen |
| 33.48% ( | 23.61% ( | 42.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.36% ( | 39.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.01% ( | 61.99% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( | 23.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.59% ( | 57.41% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( | 18.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.75% ( | 50.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 2-0 @ 4.64% ( 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.48% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0-3 @ 3.42% ( 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0-4 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 42.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 58 |
| 2 | Ajax | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 52 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 23 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 21 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
| 17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
