Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.86%) and 1-3 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Groningen win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Feyenoord in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 19.47% ( | 19.48% ( | 61.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.74% ( | 32.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.13% ( | 53.86% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( | 29.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.42% ( | 65.57% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.68% ( | 10.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.25% ( | 33.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.15% ( 1-0 @ 3.72% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 2-0 @ 2.27% ( 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 3-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 19.47% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 3-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.48% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 1-3 @ 7.26% ( 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0-3 @ 5.96% ( 2-3 @ 4.43% ( 1-4 @ 4.12% ( 0-4 @ 3.38% ( 2-4 @ 2.51% ( 1-5 @ 1.87% ( 0-5 @ 1.54% ( 2-5 @ 1.14% ( 3-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 61.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Ajax | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 49 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 28 | 32 | 46 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 41 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 37 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 23 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 29 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 23 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 54 | -34 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 18 |
| 17 | Groningen | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 39 | -26 | 13 |
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