

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 28.58% ( | 22.86% ( | 48.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.5% ( | 38.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.2% ( | 60.8% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.15% ( | 25.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.18% ( | 60.82% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.84% ( | 16.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.39% ( | 45.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 1-0 @ 5.65% ( 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.58% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0-2 @ 6.94% 1-3 @ 5.7% ( 0-3 @ 4.22% ( 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 2-4 @ 1.76% ( 1-5 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.62% Total : 48.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Heracles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
