

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 30.86% | 24.77% | 44.37% |
| Both teams to score 56.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.94% | 46.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.64% | 68.36% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% | 28.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.19% | 63.81% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% | 20.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 1-0 @ 7.43% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.86% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.21% 1-3 @ 4.78% 0-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 1.88% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Heracles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
