Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 66.2% ( | 17.49% ( | 16.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.99% ( | 28.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.24% ( | 48.75% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.03% ( | 7.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.87% ( | 28.12% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( | 30.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.8% ( | 66.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 3-0 @ 6.46% ( 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 4-1 @ 4.91% ( 3-2 @ 4.67% ( 4-0 @ 4.09% ( 4-2 @ 2.95% ( 5-1 @ 2.49% ( 5-0 @ 2.07% ( 5-2 @ 1.49% ( 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 6-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.2% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0-0 @ 2.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 0.4% Total : 17.49% | 1-2 @ 4.38% ( 0-1 @ 2.88% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0-2 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 16.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Vitesse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Almere CityAlmere City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
