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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Utrecht |
27.67% (![]() | 23.19% (![]() | 49.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.29% (![]() | 40.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.91% (![]() | 63.09% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.4% (![]() | 27.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.87% (![]() | 63.12% (![]() |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.22% (![]() | 16.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.28% (![]() | 46.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 6.85% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 27.67% | 1-1 @ 10.63% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 9.5% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 3.3% Total : 49.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 39 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 35 |
4 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
5 | Ajax | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 33 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 29 |
8 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 27 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 19 |
13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 19 |
14 | Vitesse | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 16 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
16 | Groningen | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 12 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 12 |
18 | Cambuur | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 9 |
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