

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | NEC | 5 | 2 | 6 | 
| 10 | SBV Excelsior | 5 | -8 | 6 | 
| 11 | FC Utrecht | 5 | -2 | 5 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Vitesse | 5 | -8 | 4 | 
| 15 | Emmen | 5 | -9 | 4 | 
| 16 | FC Volendam | 6 | -13 | 4 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Emmen | 
| 39.57% ( | 26.53% ( | 33.9% ( | 
| Both teams to score 52.16% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.32% ( | 52.68% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.68% ( | 74.32% ( | 
| SBV Excelsior Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.91% ( | 26.09% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.86% ( | 61.14% ( | 
| Emmen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.57% ( | 29.43% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.57% ( | 65.42% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Emmen | 
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 2-0 @ 6.93% ( 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.57% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.9% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 | 
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 36 | 
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 | 
| 11 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 | 
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 | 
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 | 
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 24 | 
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 | 
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 | 
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