

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Heerenveen | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.13%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.67%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 21.17% ( | 20.7% ( | 58.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.33% ( | 35.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.27% ( | 57.73% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( | 29.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.89% ( | 66.11% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% ( | 12.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.28% ( | 37.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 1-0 @ 4.38% ( 2-0 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 3-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 21.17% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 1-3 @ 6.86% ( 0-3 @ 5.69% ( 2-3 @ 4.13% ( 1-4 @ 3.62% ( 0-4 @ 3% ( 2-4 @ 2.18% ( 1-5 @ 1.53% ( 0-5 @ 1.27% ( 2-5 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 58.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 38 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 21 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 14 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 |
| 15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 16 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 11 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 11 |
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