The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between Heracles and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
We said: Heracles 2-0 SBV Excelsior
The onus is firmly on the home side to take control of proceedings as they set out to make up a three-goal deficit. While we expect them to come out on top in this one, we can see them just falling short on aggregate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
46.54% ( -0.49) | 23.38% ( 0.05) | 30.08% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 61.34% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
