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Sep 17, 2022 at 8.30pm UK at Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
0 - 0
Philadelphia

Sejdic (49'), Sanchez (61')
FT

Carranza (11'), Andres Martinez (73'), Gazdag (90+7')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 Atlanta
Wednesday, September 14 at 11.55pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-2 Philadelphia Union

This is sure to be a competitive encounter between two teams in fine form who have got a lot to play for towards the end of the season. However, Philadelphia Union's ability in front of goal is something that could prove to be the difference maker in this particular match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
42.22% (-0.684 -0.68) 24.28% (0.34 0.34) 33.49% (0.347 0.35)
Both teams to score 59.69% (-1.107 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12% (-1.496 -1.5)42.88% (1.498 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72% (-1.5 -1.5)65.28% (1.502 1.5)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (-0.92700000000001 -0.93)20.46% (0.928 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (-1.492 -1.49)52.92% (1.495 1.5)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)24.94% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (-0.715 -0.72)59.58% (0.717 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 42.22%
    Philadelphia Union 33.49%
    Draw 24.28%
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.304 0.3)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 42.22%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.331 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.067 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.361 0.36)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.49%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Philadelphia

Atlanta United
31.1%
Draw
13.3%
Philadelphia Union
55.6%
45
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
Pineda (17')
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
Jun 20, 2021 7pm
Atlanta
2-2
Philadelphia
Przybylko (58' og.), Walkes (83')
Lopez (76')
Burke (84'), Glesnes (90+3')
Bedoya (30'), Flach (41'), Fontana (53'), Glesnes (60'), Monteiro (90')
Jun 20, 2020 10.30pm
May 10, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
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