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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 31 | 51 | 
| 2 | CF Montreal | 26 | 8 | 46 | 
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 6 | 41 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 0 | 33 | 
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 0 | 32 | 
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | -11 | 27 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Colorado Rapids | 
| 58.57% (  0.03) | 21.99% (  -0.01) | 19.44% (  -0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 54.05% (  -0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.83% (  -0.01) | 44.16% (  0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.45% (  -0.01) | 66.54% (  0.01) | 
| Philadelphia Union Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.24% (  0.01) | 14.76% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57% (  0.01) | 43% (  -0.02) | 
| Colorado Rapids Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.41% (  -0.03) | 36.59% (  0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.62% (  -0.03) | 73.38% (  0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Colorado Rapids | 
| 1-0 @ 10.33% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.89% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 6.34% (  0) 3-0 @ 6.3% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 3.19% (  -0) 4-1 @ 3.03% (  0) 4-0 @ 3.02% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.52% (  -0) 5-1 @ 1.16% (  0) 5-0 @ 1.15% (  0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 58.57% | 1-1 @ 10.38% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.4% (  0) 2-2 @ 5% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% (  -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.43% (  -0) 1-2 @ 5.22% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.73% (  -0) 1-3 @ 1.75% (  -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% (  -0) 0-3 @ 0.92% (  -0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 19.44% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 | 
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 | 
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 
| 7 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 | 
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 15 | 
| 10 | Orlando City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 | 
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 | 
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 15 | 
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 | 
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 | 
| 15 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 
| 3 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 
| 4 | Dallas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 | 
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 | 
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 
| 9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 | 
| 10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 | 
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 | 
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 | 
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 | 
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
