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Major League Soccer
DC United
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2022 at 12.30am UK
RFK Stadium
Philadelphia Union
DC United
0 - 6
Philadelphia
FT(HT: 0-2)
Uhre (37'), Gazdag (45+4' pen.), Carranza (47', 70', 74'), Burke (79')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

Last Six:
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 DC United
Wednesday, August 17 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 18 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 1-3 Philadelphia Union

 Philadelphia Union have suffered a slump in recent weeks, losing two of their last three games since the start of August. However, next up is an opposing side who have managed just one win in their last 10 games. We predict a one-sided contest with Philadelphia coming away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
33.27% (-0.413 -0.41) 25.83% (0.241 0.24) 40.9% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.914 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12% (-1.132 -1.13)49.88% (1.136 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (-1.018 -1.02)71.87% (1.022 1.02)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55% (-0.81 -0.81)28.45% (0.813 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78% (-1.031 -1.03)64.22% (1.034 1.03)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (-0.41300000000001 -0.41)24.12% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (-0.591 -0.59)58.43% (0.594 0.59)
Score Analysis
    DC United 33.27%
    Philadelphia Union 40.9%
    Draw 25.83%
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.201 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.27%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.311 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.328 0.33)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.94% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.9%

How you voted: DC United vs Philadelphia

DC United
27.3%
Draw
0.0%
Philadelphia Union
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
7-0
DC United
Bedoya (9', 37'), Carranza (22', 25', 72'), Uhre (45+2', 59')

Birnbaum (36'), Odoi-Atsem (69')
Aug 29, 2021 1am
DC United
3-1
Philadelphia
Kamara (36' pen.), Reyna (49'), Abila (90+5')
Najar (55')
Birnbaum (22' og.)
Elliott (59')
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
DC United
Santos (11'), Przybylko (83')
Andres Martinez (22')
Rodrigo Asad (51' pen.)
Rodrigo Asad (27'), Alfaro (45+1'), Reyna (45+1')
May 24, 2021 12.15am
DC United
0-1
Philadelphia
Przybylko (45+1')
Andres Martinez (65'), Blake (90+5')
Oct 15, 2020 1am
DC United
2-2
Philadelphia
Pines (71'), Rodrigo Asad (75' pen.)
Canouse (60')
Fontana (49'), McKenzie (87')
Santos (42'), Fontana (54'), Bedoya (74'), Mbaizo (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati128311812627
2New England RevolutionNew England127321911824
3Nashville SCNashville13643178922
4Atlanta UnitedAtlanta136342521421
5Columbus Crew125342314918
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia125341714318
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC135351823-518
8DC United134451616016
9New York City FCNY City134451516-116
10Orlando City124441315-216
11Inter MiamiInter Miami125071314-115
12CF MontrealMontreal125071120-915
13Chicago Fire123541518-314
14New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls13274811-313
15Toronto132741317-413

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Seattle SoundersSeattle137242011923
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles116412191222
3Dallas136431512322
4St Louis City126242213920
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125341616018
6Portland TimbersPortland134451819-116
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd124351114-315
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver123541614214
9Houston DynamoHouston114251010014
10Austin FCAustin123451218-613
11Colorado RapidsColorado132651018-812
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake123361020-1012
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas13247917-810
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy122371020-109
> Full Version
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