Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.