Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.