Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.