Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.