Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
4 | Austin FC | 14 | 10 | 24 |
5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
5 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
6 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | -2 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
47.51% | 24.01% | 28.48% |
Both teams to score 58.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.06% | 43.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.67% | 66.33% |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.36% | 18.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.05% | 49.95% |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% | 28.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% | 64.51% |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-1 @ 9.42% 1-0 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 5.28% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.39% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 7% 0-1 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.74% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |