Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.